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Too much philosophy
My ramblings on books I've read, music I've listened to and things I want to try.
Monday, January 13, 2025
THE EARNED LIFE Lose Regret, Choose Fulfillment by Marshall Goldsmith
Wednesday, January 8, 2025
Friday, January 3, 2025
One The Edge
The book examines people who think like gamblers (in the most positive sense of the word) – whether they're actual gamblers, venture capitalists, cryptocurrency enthusiasts, startup CEOs, or technologists building potentially world-altering AI.
Some key insights from the book: People would benefit from taking more calculated risks in their lives. Many avoid risk because they struggle to evaluate it properly. Is there a 1% edge with a 10x payoff? Or is it a one-in-ten-million chance of winning the lottery? Did a penny stock with a weak business plan grow by 10x? Did it collapse? Failing to distinguish the actual risks in these scenarios, and going by your gut or feelings, indicates carelessness rather than calculated risk-taking. Understanding the Kelly Criterion becomes essential here.
Regarding intuition, Silver suggests you need hundreds or thousands of relevant experiences before truly trusting your gut on a topic. A professional poker player's intuition differs dramatically from an amateur's, and they can cite numerous experiences that shaped their instincts.
Will AI become so advanced that it destroys us? While the book doesn't provide a definitive answer, it has convinced me otherwise. Though I agree AI will be transformative, the idea that AI will destroy us stems from an oversimplified model of the future – one that assumes powerful future AI might rebel, therefore we should fear it. Silver points out that such simplistic models of the future are almost always wrong.
Consider this historical parallel: Millennia ago, imagine a philosopher and metallurgist discussing their craft. The philosopher warns that metal will eventually create guns and bombs, suggesting they slow metallurgical progress. The counterargument? Metallurgy would improve lives in countless ways, including providing tools to manage those very weapons. Similarly, AI will enhance our lives while potentially offering solutions to manage destructive AI.
Silver's interview with SBF during the FTX bankruptcy provides fascinating reading, though my takeaway remains unchanged: there are still no compelling reasons to buy cryptocurrencies.
The book explores the deeper implications of thinking like a gambler. While investors might reject a startup with ten risks as too dangerous, a CEO views those same ten items as problems to solve. Leaders like Peter Thiel and Elon Musk approach innovation this way – seeing problems as challenges to overcome regardless of risk. They abhor index, insurance or diverse style investing. They could have survivorship bias, though they are billionaires and I am not, so who am I to argue.
Silver concludes by examining "gamified casino capitalism" – where future technology, including AI, primarily exists to capture our attention (think social media feeds) rather than genuinely improving our lives or economy. Where we invest based on some sort of risk/reward analysis and not because we actually believe in the investment. Silver advocates for a future emphasizing agency (We have meaningful choices in our lives), plurality (Many types of people live and work together), and reciprocity (We help each other).
Thursday, December 19, 2024
The Night of the Gun
By David Carr
I came across this book because it was referenced in other works I’ve read about addiction, and I found its concept intriguing. With many addicts in my life, I’ve come to appreciate different perspectives on the topic.
David Carr, after achieving sobriety, became a successful investigative journalist. Eventually, he made a startling realization about his past: different people had wildely conflicting accounts of events in his life. Using his skills as a reporter, he decided to investigate his own life to answer the question—what kind of addict was he?
The book offers some excellent insights into how unreliable our memories can be and how we reshape them to protect our self-image. It’s fascinating to consider how little of our own past we truly recall and how much of it we unconsciously rewrite.
However, I found the detailed stories of Carr’s substance abuse less compelling. Some addicts revel in recounting their escapades with drugs and alcohol, their eyes lighting up as they share their wild experiences. Carr seems to be one of those addicts.
As someone who has never struggled with addiction, I just didn’t connect with these parts. Reading about outrageous incidents fueled by cocaine or alcohol felt unremarkable to me—just more of the same. Because of this, I skimmed over much of the book’s addiction-related anecdotes.
Quotes...
"Personal narrative is not simply opening up a vein and letting the blood flow toward anyone willing to stare. The historical self is created to keep dissonance at bay and render the subject palatable to the present."
"People remember what they can live with more often than how they lived."
"Drugs, its seems to me, do not conjure up demons, they access them. Was I faking it then, or am I faking it now?, Which, you may ask, of my two selves did I make up?"
"The defining characteristic of recovery from addiction, or any other chronic health issue, is that you are fine until you are not."
Monday, December 9, 2024
4000 weeks
Tuesday, November 26, 2024
Twitter...
I have deactivated my Twitter account. Looking over my old tweets, little of value will be lost.
There are a few quotes and references to books that I'm saving here...
In 2011 I read three books about Charlie Munger... Seeking Wisdom, Poor Charlie's Almanack & Munger's Worldy Wisdom
2011, I read "A Theory of Everything" by Stephen Hawking.
2011-- Seneca's Letters from a Stoic
2012-- Quote from Salon... "Capitalism involves for basic principles... Absolute responsibility for anything and everything that happens to your company, equal justice under the law, compensation based on the real value created for society, and competition which involves failure and what is often called creative destruction."
2012-- Quotes from... The Antidote
Friday, November 22, 2024
A Gentleman in Moscow
By Amor Towles.
A fantastic novel about a man who spends decades under house arrest at a hotel in Moscow.
"If a man does not master his circumstances, he is bound to be mastered by them."
"Imagining what might happen if one's circumstances were different was the only sure route to madness."
"For the times do, in fact, change. They change relentlessly. Inevitably. Inventively. And as they change, they set into bright relief not only outmoded honorifics and hunting horns... but all manner of carefully crafted things that have outlived their usefulness."
"By their nature, human beings are so capricious, so complex, so delightfully contradictory, that they deserve not only our consideration, but our reconsideration-- and our unwavering determination to withhold our opinion until we have engaged with them in every possible setting at every possible hour."
"For what matters in life is not whether we receive a round of applause; what matters is whether we have the courage to venture forth despite the uncertainty of acclaim."
"The surest sign of wisdom is constant cheerfulness."
"It is only our heartbreak that finally refutes all that is ephemeral in love."